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TV Series 2016

Season TV Series: What’s a hit, what’s not

With the quasi-cancelation of ABC’s Notorious, let’s check the ratings for the rest of broadcast’s fall freshman class. Who’s doing the best? Who’s performing the worst? The answer isn’t always obvious as a number – the night a show airs, its lead-in and competition are factors that networks consider too. But first: Here’s how the networks themselves are faring overall compared to this point last year in the adult demo:

NET ..THEN .. NOW
NBC…2.8…2.5…-11%
CBS…2.5…2.2…-12%
ABC…2.1…1.8…-14%
Fox…1.9…1.7…-11%
CW…0.6…0.5…-17%

So, yes, everybody is down. The decline reflects a broader audience trend shifting away from The Big 5 as original programs proliferate on cable and streaming networks. Another factor: This year’s intensely dramatic presidential election has been fascinating is possibly drawing attention away from entertainment products, especially since even prime-time NFL games – which are usually bulletproof in the ratings – have also dropped notably compared to last year.

Now for the new shows. Here are the top performers ranked by their adult 18-49 rating, including DVR playback when available. Shows in bold have already been picked up for a full season:

This Is Us (NBC): 3.6 rating; 12 million viewers
Designated Survivor (ABC): 3.4 rating; 13.7 million
Kevin Can Wait (CBS): 2.8 rating; 11.1 million
Speechless (ABC): 2.4 rating; 8.1 million
Lethal Weapon (Fox): 2.4 rating; 8.7 million
Bull (CBS): 2.3 rating; 16 million
– Timeless (NBC): 2.0 rating; 8.1 million
– The Good Place (NBC): 1.8 rating; 5.8 million
– American Housewife (ABC): 1.8 rating; 6.2 million
MacGyver (CBS): 1.7 rating; 10.4 million
– Man with a Plan (CBS): 1.6 rating; 7.3 million (just premiered)
– Son of Zorn (Fox): 1.5 rating; 3.4 million
– Notorious (ABC): 1.4 rating; 5.8 million
– Pitch (Fox): 1.4 rating; 5.1 million
– Disreputable (ABC): 1.2 rating; 5.6 million
– Exorcist (Fox): 1.1 rating; 3 million
– Conviction (ABC): 1.0 rating; 5.6 million
– Frequency (The CW): 0.4 rating; 1.4 million
– No Tomorrow (The CW): 0.4 rating; 1.1 million

The good news for broadcasters is the Big 4 networks all have one show they can point to as doing at least solidly well. The downside is that only This Is Us has, week-to-week, looked like a legitimate breakout. Everything else is faring somewhere between solid and tire fire. The CW is having a particularly rough fall, with its two new shows, Frequency and No Tomorrow, both struggling.

For CBS, there’s still a couple new fall shows still to come – comedies The Great Outdoors and Pure Genius launch Thursday. Perhaps once the election finally ends, and broadcast launches its midseason shows, some of these numbers will climb?

Note: Disreputable is not a real ABC show. But you were’t entirely certain, were you?

Source: EW